The $7.5trn meddle

By Bill Bonner Jul 16, 2012

Bill Bonner.

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The Daily Reckoning, proved right again!

We’ve been sticking our necks out. We had a strong hunch that the rich had gotten a whole lot richer not because they were suddenly greedier or suddenly smarter, but because of the feds. The feds were handing out money. The rich were first in line.

But we didn’t have any real proof, until now.

Relatively speaking, the rich have gotten a lot richer over the last 30 years. The whiners and fixers want to do something about it. They say the rich weren’t taxed heavily enough and they weren’t regulated enough.

That had little to do with it, we pointed out. Instead, the meddlers themselves caused the caused the rich to get richer.

Who’s right? We are, of course, says CNBC:

A report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York suggests that the bulk of equity returns for more than a decade are due to actions by the US central bank. Theoretically, the S&P 500 would be more than 50% lower - at the 600 level - if the bullish price action preceding Fed announcements was excluded, the study showed.

How do you like that? Without the intervention of the central bankers, the rich would be about $7.5 trillion less rich. But wait - actually, they’d be even less rich than that. We’ll come back to that, tomorrow.

Let’s look at how the rich got so rich. Did they get a lot smarter in the last 30 years? Did they become a lot greedier? Nah. They were in the right place at the right time. They owned stocks just when the Fed was dumping beaucoup money into the financial system.

We didn’t have much proof for these assertions when we first made them. They just seemed superficially correct. The Fed increased the money supply (M2) 13 times since the early 80s, and the Dow rose about 13 times too. It seemed a little fishy to us.

Wages and prices, meanwhile, were held in check by outsourcing. The US outsourced its consumer and labour inflation to China. So relatively, the rich got richer, leaving the tired, poor multitudes to get even poorer.

And now we have proof. Without the intervention of the central bank stocks would by at half today’s prices.


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One scam after another. It is amazing anyone takes economists or central bankers seriously. And now the same bumblers who caused the rich to get so rich are still on the job, offering more scammy solutions. Here’s the Atlantic magazine:   

In one of the most famous passages from the Federalist Papers (No.51). James Madison wrote: "If men were angels, no government would be necessary".

The issue [is] how to realise the benefits of market capitalism while restraining the powerful impulses to cut corners, cheat, and commit fraud. This ageless question is of special moment in this polarized political season, in which the role of government is central. The cases rebut the assertions of the Republicans, Tea Partyers, libertarians, and corporate leaders who wish to reduce the reach of law and government and who believe that markets will always self-regulate - people from Ayn Rand and Russell Kirk, to Ron Paul and Grover Norquist, to Tea-Party Republican majorities in the House who want to "starve government", to individual and corporate donors to super PACs, all of whom are today shaping the Republican message.

The cases support people who believe in a mixed economy that gives a central role to economic freedom and free markets -- but a system that also places important legal and regulatory limits in order to prevent corruption and protect social goods.

Get it? Businessmen and investors aren’t angels. So government regulators, backed by economists and opinion leaders, have to step in.

And here’s Jeffrey Sachs in the FT, calling for major new central planning: Move America's economic debate out of its time warp

In short, we need new economic strategies to overhaul broken systems of finance, labour markets, taxation, ecological management, budget management and investment incentives. Those challenges cannot be fixed through lowering taxes on the rich or higher fiscal deficits to create aggregate demand. The new approaches must be long-term, structural, sensitive to inequalities of skills and education, aligned with the need for more sustainable technologies and “smarter” infrastructure (empowered by information technology) and congruent with long-term demographic trends. It’s time we moved beyond the Republican Party economics of the 1920s and the Democratic Party economics of the 1930s, to a new macroeconomics for the 21st century.

Never explained is how people on the public payroll got to be such angels... and so smart! If you cut them, do they not bleed? If you insult them, aren’t their feelings hurt? If you wave a $100 bill in front of them, won’t they do your bidding?

Bob Diamond hoped so. Moyers and Winship report

The disgraced financier would no longer be hosting one of two Romney fundraising events for American expatriates being held in London later this month. But no worries. The Boston Globe notes that “still among those hosting the events is Patrick Durkin, a registered lobbyist for Barclays...  Durkin, who has been a top Romney bundler, is one of seven chairs for the reception and among the 13 co-chairs for the dinner.

“Others involved in hosting the events are Dwight Poler, managing director at the European branch of Bain Capital, the firm Romney founded; Raj Bhattacharyya, managing director at Deutsche Bank; and Dan Bricken, a managing director at Wells Fargo Securities. “ Each guest at the dinner event will pay between $25,000 and $75,000 for the opportunity to sup with the Republican presidential nominee.”

More tomorrow on the whole corrupt and degenerate spectacle. How the feds rigged the system, and how they use the crisis they caused to rig it even more.

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  • 1. K V Ramani

    (17 July 2012, 02:48AM)  Complain about this comment

    I am all too acutely aware of the pitfalls and dead-ends of communism and socialism. Capitalism is the best of the worst for economies. However, capitalism is predatory by nature. Left unchecked, it induces the predators to hunt down all their prey to the point where their own survival is threatened. To the extent countries are not just economies but are also societies in which human welfare is the ultimate goal of development, some degree of regulation over capitalism is essential. Whether the regulators are ignorant economists or stuffy bureaucrats can always be contested. But what is the alternative? Who else should then regulate? The capitalists themselves? We all know how self-regulation has worked out. Whether we like it or not, we do need a body of people, distinct from the capitalists themselves, to avoid the excesses of runaway capitalism. It might not be the ideal solution but we have nothing better.

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