Expect bumper sales for new superbug technology
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Charlie Gibson Feb 13, 2006
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Decontamination expert Bioquell (BQE, 129p) has come “scorching back into fashion”, says Steven Frazer in Shares. Clinical trials in the US have shown that its technology is effective in fighting hospital superbugs, such as MRSA, VRE and Clostridium difficile, which is “reckoned to have killed nearly 1,000 people in England and Wales a couple of years ago”.
Bioquell uses a small computer-operated machine (a little like the R2D2 robot in Star Wars) to pump hydrogen peroxide vapour into a room without leaving a residue, and is effective within just four hours, says Philip Aldrick in The Daily Telegraph.
Initially, the principal applications will be in the US, where insurance companies are increasingly reluctant to cover hospitals against superbug infections. However, Britain’s Health Protection Agency has reported that “up to a third of English NHS trusts were failing to combat effectively the problem of unsatisfactory standards of hospital cleanliness”, which has given added impetus here as well, says the FT.
And because the firm sells its technology “as an ongoing service… acting as a preventive sterilisation measure”, rather than (as its US competitors do) in response to an actual outbreak, says Frazer, the prospects for “bumper” sales are very real. Early estimates suggest a tripling of sales, from £15m to £50m, “within three to four years”, while earnings for 2006 alone are expected to more than double to 6p a share. That about halves Bioquell’s p/e from in excess of 40 to closer to 22 times.
That’s not cheap, says Aldrick, and a glance at the chart opposite shows how much the shares have gone up in the last few weeks, something that will make those with a contrarian bent nervous. “But there are few products like this, and spending to counter infection will only increase. Buy.” Shares agrees – albeit with the proviso that Bioquell is still a firm with “a few ifs and buts”, and so not really appropriate for the risk-averse.
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